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The best Model BASED MMA gambling SYSTEM

The best Model BASED MMA gambling SYSTEMThe best Model BASED MMA gambling SYSTEMThe best Model BASED MMA gambling SYSTEM

Join today for the most consistent MMA betting system out there! 

My MMA betting model is second to none.

Subscribe Now

The best Model BASED MMA gambling SYSTEM

The best Model BASED MMA gambling SYSTEMThe best Model BASED MMA gambling SYSTEMThe best Model BASED MMA gambling SYSTEM

Join today for the most consistent MMA betting system out there! 

My MMA betting model is second to none.

Subscribe Now

The Birth of the MODEL

an mma gambler watching hours of tape trying to make money.

Birth

I used to spend hours watching tapes of fighters to gain an edge in the betting markets. This required a massive time investment, which limited me to fights in the UFC. My strategy involved parlaying heavy favorites and betting on slight underdogs. To save time, I developed a betting model.
This model takes into account a combination of statistics, fighter attributes, and historical results, providing a prediction on a 0-5 scale where:

  • 0 indicates low confidence, and thus, no bet.
  • 1-5 represent the units I would assign to the bet based on confidence.
  • Initially, I applied this model only to underdogs, disregarding favorites because betting on them seemed unexciting. This was the inception of the underdog model, and the results were promising! We were profitable, yet it felt like we were leaving money on the table by not considering some favorites. So, we delved deeper into the data.
    The analysis revealed that incorporating favorites into our betting strategy could also be profitable. The updated model now includes all suggested bets on a 1-5 unit scale. Another significant advantage of this model is its applicability to any fight promotion, not just the UFC, expanding our betting landscape considerably.

A dog wearing MMA training gear

The Underdog Model

In 2022, the underdog model resulted in an overall 12% ROI with an average odds of +180. I dug into the numbers and decided to take a peek at how the model would perform if it included all the favorites as well, and the results were pretty shocking.
The newer model showed me how much money I was leaving on the table! In 2023 alone, the underdog model netted about 65 units for the year (which is impressive enough!), while the new, improved model brought in 104 units. That's significant. It’s essentially a doubling of your entire bankroll in less than a year!
The model gives me an edge on fights across all odds ranges. My underdog bets perform greatly, and my bets on favorites perform even better.
Here are some stats (Flat Unit Model):

  • Underdog bets hit at a 41% rate with average odds of +180. This meant a bet ROI of 11.8%, but a bankroll ROI of 65%.
  • New Model bets hit at a 60% rate with average odds of +105. This meant a bet ROI of 8.6%, but a bankroll ROI of 104%.
  • Favorites alone hit at a 75.6% rate!

An image showing the evolution from dog to man to MMA fighter

Evolution

As with any model, it is only as good as the adjustments made to the data. Once we started including favorites in our betting strategy, our bankroll ROI increased, even though our gambling ROI decreased. Our goal is to maximize our bankroll ROI. I’ve added a few statistics that our model has highlighted. The current sample size includes over 2,000 bets from 2023-2024.

  • Overall model hit rate: 61% with a 5% ROI
  • Improved model hit rate: 66% with a 6.35% ROI

The difference may not seem substantial, but even this incremental increase makes a significant difference.

  • Return in 2024 with the old model: +54.99 units
  • Return in 2024 with the new model: +82.31 units

Navigating the MMA Betting Landscape: Transparency, Trust, and Strategy

  • Verify, Verify, Verify: If a handicapper's record seems unbelievably good, it likely is too good to be true. Always seek third-party verification or look for timestamped evidence of their predictions.
  • Pricing and Value: I've set my subscription at $20 a month because I not only make money through my betting model but also believe in providing value. There are services out there charging hundreds for potentially lesser or equal quality predictions.
  • Transparency: I am committed to transparency. Losses happen to everyone; what matters is how we handle them. I'll always own up to my losses because cold streaks are part of the game. The key is managing and adapting to these periods.
  • The Objective Model: My approach uses an objective betting model, coupled with a unit scaling strategy, to ensure our bets are both informed and moderated.
  • Regular Updates: Every event is recapped weekly. My updates are clear, concise, and honest, reflecting both wins and losses accurately.


In the volatile realm of MMA betting, having a reliable guide can make all the difference. My service aims not just to predict winners, but to educate and grow with our community of bettors.

Subscirbe today!

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